Comparison of the Properties of a Statistical Functional
from Measurements of the Magnetic Field
in the Middle of the Russian Continental Platform
and in a Seismically Active Region

A. E. Volvach; Вольвач А. Е.; L. P. Kogan; Коган Л. П.; K. H. Kanonidi; Канониди К. Х.; I. T. Bubukin; Бубукин И. Т.; O. V. Boborykina; Боборыкина О. В.; V. B. Shtenberg; Штенберг В. Б.; L. N. Volvach; Вольвач Л. Н.

doi:10.31857/S0016794022600454

Comparison of the Properties of a Statistical Functional from Measurements of the Magnetic Field in the Middle of the Russian Continental Platform and in a Seismically Active Region

Authors: Volvach A.E.¹, Kogan L.P.², Kanonidi K.H.³, Bubukin I.T.⁴, Boborykina O.V.⁵, Shtenberg V.B.², Volvach L.N.¹
Affiliations:
1. Department of Radio Astronomy and Geodynamics, Crimean Astrophysical Observatory, Russian Academy of Sciences
2. Nizhny Novgorod State University of Architecture and Civil Engineering
3. Pushkov Institute of Terrestrial Magnetism, the Ionosphere, and Radio Wave Propagation, Russian Academy of Sciences
4. Radiophysical Research Institute, Lobachevsky Nizhny Novgorod State University
5. Schmidt Institute of Physics of the Earth
Issue: Vol 63, No 2 (2023)
Pages: 257-272
Section: ДИСКУССИИ
URL: https://ruspoj.com/0016-7940/article/view/651032
DOI: https://doi.org/10.31857/S0016794022600454
EDN: https://elibrary.ru/DLPQCP
ID: 651032

Cite item

Full Text

Open Access
Restricted Access

Access granted
Restricted Access

Subscription or Fee Access

Abstract

This article investigates the properties of small-scale fluctuations of the probability density for
measurements of the X, Y, and Z-components of the Earth’s magnetic field that were carried out both in a
seismically active region and in an area with a complete absence of seismic activity. In the first case, a much
greater intensity of the occurrence of statistical phenomena considered as earthquake precursors was revealed.
At an interval of several days before the earthquake with a magnitude of 5.3 in Metsavan (Armenia), whose
epicenter was located near the magnetic variation station in a seismically active region, a sharp increase in the
frequency of these phenomena was found. This effect was absent in the seismically quiet region

References

– Бабешко В.А., Селезнев М.Г. Об одном методе исследования установившихся колебаний упругого полупространства, содержащего сферическую или горизонтальную цилиндрическую полость // Изв. АН СССР. Сер. ПММ. Вып. 1. Т. 47. С. 115‒121. 1983.
– Вольвач А.Е., Коган Л.П., Канониди К.Х. Способ определения вероятности возникновения землетрясений на основе выявления феноменов с высоким уровнем детерминированности / Патент. 2778972 РФ, СПК G01V 1/008 (2022.08); G01V 3/38 (2022.08). № 2021122118: заявл. 26.07.2021: опубл. 29.08.2022. Бюл. № 25. 7 с. 2022.
– Добровольский И.А. Теория подготовки тектонического землетрясения. М.: ИФЗ АН СССР, 217 с. 1991.
– Добровольский И.П. Математическая теория подготовки и прогноза тектонического землетрясения. М.: Физмат, 236 с. 2009.
– Коган Л.П. Изменение статистических функционалов от критической частоты слоя f 2 ионосферы перед сильными землетрясениями // Геомагнетизм и аэрономия. Т. 55. № 4. С. 525–539. 2015. https://doi.org/10.1134/S0016793215040064
– Собисевич А.Л. Мониторинг слоистых неоднородных сред. Монография. М.: ОИФЗ РАН, 354 с. 2001.
– Собисевич А.Л. Избранные задачи математической геофизики, вулканологии и геоэкологии. М.: ФГБУН ИФЗ РАН, 512 с. 2012.
– Собисевич Л.Е., Собисевич А.Л., Канониди К.Х. Аномальные геомагнитные возмущения в вариациях магнитного поля Земли на этапе подготовки и развития глубокофокусных землетрясений // Доклады академии наук. Геофизика. Т. 453. № 3. С. 329–333. 2013a.
– Собисевич Л.Е., Собисевич А.Л., Канониди К.Х., Мисеюк О.И. Геомагнитные возмущения в вариациях магнитного поля Земли на этапах подготовки и развития турецкого (08.03.2010 г.) и северокавказского (19.01.2011 г.) землетрясений // Докл. АН. Геофизика. Т. 449. № 1. С. 93–96. 2013b.
– Чичинин И.С. Вибрационное излучение сейсмических волн. М.: Недра, 220 с. 1984.
– Freund F. Earthquake Forewarning - A Multidisciplinary Challenge from the Ground up to Space // Acta Geophysica. V. 61. № 4. P. 775–807. 2013.
– Jankowski J., Sucksdorff C. Guide for magnetic measurements and observatory practice. International Association of Geomagnetism and Aeronomy, 235 p. 1996.
– Kogan L.P., Bubukin I.T., Shtenberg V.B. To the question of calculating the probability of strong earthquakes in real time // Chaos, Solitons and Fractals. V. 145. 110807. 2021.
– Newitt L.R., Barton C.E., Bitterly J. Guide for magnetic repeat station surveys. International Association of Geomagnetism and Aeronomy Working Group V-8: Analysis of the Global and Regional Geomagnetic Field and its Secular Variation, 1996.
– Volvach A.E., Kogan L.P., Kanonidi K.H. et al. Changes in the properties of the statistics of physical and biophysical fields as earthquake precursor // Communications in Nonlinear Science and Numerical Simulation. V. 108. 106200. 2022a. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cnsns.2021.106200
– Volvach A.E., Kogan L.P., Kanonidi K.H. et al. Statistical precursors of a strong earthquake on April 6, 2009 on the Apennine Peninsula // Heliyon. V. 8. № 8. e10200. 2022b. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2022.e10200
– Volvach A.E., Kogan L.P., Kanonidi K.H. et al. On the statistical precursors that preceded the earthquake of magnitude 6.0 on September 27, 2021, on the island of Crete // Arabian J. Geosciences. V. 15. 1358. 2022c. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12517-022-10656-8
– Volvach A.E., Kogan L.P., Kanonidi K.H. et al. A Possible Relationship between the Sets of Quasi-Linear Local Trends Statistically Detected in the Variations of the Magnetic Field Parameters before Earthquakes in Seismicly Active Zones of the Black Sea, Caucasus, and Western Asia // Geodynamics & Tectonophysics. V. 13. № 5. 0680. 2022d.
– Volvach A., Kogan L., Kanonidi K. et al. About statistical precursor earthquakes on October 12, 2021 with a magnitude of 6.4 on the Island of Crete // Romanian J. Physics. accepted. 2022e.