REFINED MATHEMATICAL MODEL OF ECONOMIC DYNAMICS UNDER HIGH INFLATION AND UNSTABLE DEVELOPMENT

V. A. Sadovnichiy; Садовничий В. А.; A. A. Akaev; Акаев А. А.; A. I. Zvyagintsev; Звягинцев А. И.; A. I. Sarygulov; Сарыгулов А. И.

doi:10.31857/S2686954323700133

REFINED MATHEMATICAL MODEL OF ECONOMIC DYNAMICS UNDER HIGH INFLATION AND UNSTABLE DEVELOPMENT

Authors: Sadovnichiy V.A.¹, Akaev A.A.², Zvyagintsev A.I.³, Sarygulov A.I.⁴
Affiliations:
1. Moscow State University
2. Moscow State University Institute of Complex Systems Mathematical Research
3. Mikhailovskaya Military Artillery Academy
4. St. Petersburg State University of Economics
Issue: Vol 510 (2023)
Pages: 23-28
Section: MATHEMATICS
URL: https://ruspoj.com/2686-9543/article/view/647860
DOI: https://doi.org/10.31857/S2686954323700133
EDN: https://elibrary.ru/XJABZF
ID: 647860

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Abstract

Previously, the authors proposed two mathematical models that describe the dynamics of economic development rates and forecasting inflation rates. The events that took place after February 2022 introduced an element of significant turbulence into the processes of macroeconomic dynamics in Russia, which required some correction of the previous models. This is reflected in this article. The processes simulated on the basis of new models show that in order to restore economic growth and reduce inflation in the medium term, a significant reduction in the interest rate and a steady increase in the money supply are required. It is shown that in the current era of geopolitical changes and the collapse of many liberal market dogmas, the role of the state and planning in managing economic processes is increasing.

Keywords

economic dynamics, inflation, unstable development

References

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Poccтaт: https://rosstat.gov.ru/
Центральный Банк России: https://www.cbr.ru/
Банк России: http://www.cbr.ru/Collection/Collection/File/42214/2022_03_ddcp.pdf
TACC: https://tass.ru/ekonomika/14931285
TACC: https://tass.ru/ekonomika/16160715